Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.300 | $3.8 | +$1.8 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 4h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 7.14 |
| $0.280 |
| $2.39 |
| +$0.39 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2.33 | +$0.33 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August? | Yes | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | Yes | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.300 | $1.87 | -$0.13 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.85 | $0.520 | $1.79 | -$0.21 |
| buy |
| 4.44 |
| $0.450 |
| $2 |
| 12h ago |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 2?Up | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.78 | $0.780 | $1.39 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 13d ago |
 Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 18d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 19d ago |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 19d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 28d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 28d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?Up | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 29d ago |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Yes | buy | 3.91 | $0.511 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.770 | $1.21 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |