Analytics
Ernie-287 is down $6.14K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.779 | $489 | +$21.66 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 07:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
18 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 10:45 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 10:45 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 07:51 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $20.98K and losing ones cost $10.11K across the latest 50 settled positions. 84% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.71K on “Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.08K on “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 256 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.73K across 18 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 500 |
| $0.746 |
| $485.75 |
| +$112.75 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.780 | $293.7 | +$59.7 |
 Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | 270 | $0.910 | $262.85 | +$17.15 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.250 | $35 | -$15 |
 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | Yes | 775.33 | $0.520 | $33.34 | -$369.62 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 30 | $0.754 | $23.66 | +$1.04 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.630 | $18.74 | -$0.15 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Yes | 20 | $0.790 | $16.7 | +$0.9 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.770 | $16.3 | +$0.9 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.620 | $12.7 | +$0.3 |
 Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election? | Yes | 15 | $0.703 | $10.05 | -$0.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 449.99 | $0.030 | $7.65 | -$5.95 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.660 | $7.15 | +$0.55 |
 Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 59.99 | $0.090 | $5.37 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.290 | $3.55 | +$0.65 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.360 | $2.9 | -$0.7 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.500 | $1.68 | -$0.83 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
