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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.999 | $2.01 | Mar 31, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 20.78 |
| $0.999 |
| $20.76 |
| Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.999 | $2.29 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 18.11 | $0.999 | $18.09 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.996 | $21.42 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.89 | $0.995 | $20.79 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 21.38 | $0.997 | $21.32 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 15.07 | $0.997 | $15.02 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.999 | $4.13 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No | buy | 16.11 | $0.998 | $16.08 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No | buy | 19.01 | $0.999 | $18.99 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 18.2 | $0.999 | $18.18 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.69 | $0.999 | $15.67 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.88 | $0.964 | $20.13 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.990 | $7.79 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.998 | $2.92 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.975 | $9.93 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.53 | $0.930 | $5.14 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.820 | $4.83 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 367.5 | $0.008 | $2.94 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 74.72 | $0.053 | $3.96 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.38 | $0.061 | $2.28 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 406.82 | $0.309 | $125.85 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.97 | $0.996 | $3.95 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 150.58 | $0.890 | $134.02 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 131.41 | $0.997 | $131.02 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 131.41 | $0.998 | $131.15 | Jun 22, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 136.2 | $0.979 | $133.34 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 123.22 | $0.999 | $123.1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 123.23 | $0.998 | $122.98 | Jun 14, 2025 |
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 127.23 | $0.995 | $126.59 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 127.23 | $0.996 | $126.72 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.995 | $2.2 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 131.09 | $0.995 | $130.43 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 131.09 | $0.996 | $130.57 | Jun 7, 2025 |
F1 season canceled or other team wins?No | sell | 117.56 | $0.996 | $117.09 | Jun 4, 2025 |
F1 season canceled or other team wins?No | buy | 117.56 | $0.997 | $117.21 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 120.36 | $0.997 | $120 | Jun 1, 2025 |
Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 120.36 | $0.998 | $120.12 | May 30, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?Yes | buy | 2.57 | $0.974 | $2.5 | May 30, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No | buy | 5.47 | $0.999 | $5.46 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 134.09 | $0.997 | $133.69 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 134.1 | $0.998 | $133.83 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 122.37 | $0.998 | $122.13 | May 24, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.999 | $1.44 | May 23, 2025 |
Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 122.37 | $0.999 | $122.25 | May 23, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 114.3 | $0.993 | $113.5 | May 20, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 114.31 | $0.994 | $113.62 | May 19, 2025 |
Will another candidate win?No | buy | 6.53 | $0.999 | $6.52 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 11.32 | $0.999 | $11.31 | May 17, 2025 |