Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 30, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$502.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 30, 2025 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 30 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90.5%. Yes opened at 18% on 24 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 24 May 2025 to 30 May 2025, the highest close was 90.5% on 30 May 2025 and the lowest 13% on 26 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 37% on 27 May 2025. $502.32K traded over the market's life.

30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 12:24 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 24 May 2025 – 30 May 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 May 2025	18.0%
30 May 2025	90.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	149.19K
Tendollars	No	100
Fancy-Grandma	No	40.23
Little-Accountant	No	24.14

10 of 30 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between May 23, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and May 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk