Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.850 | $127.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 24.82 |
| $0.859 |
| $21.32 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 42 | $0.985 | $41.37 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.99K | $0.002 | $5.98 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.995 | $23.88 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 123 | $0.999 | $122.88 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 5.43K | $0.003 | $16.29 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 195.71 | $0.969 | $189.65 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 7.37K | $0.004 | $29.46 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 5.43K | $0.005 | $27.15 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 7.37K | $0.005 | $36.83 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 123 | $0.986 | $121.28 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 8.64K | $0.003 | $25.93 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.64K | $0.004 | $34.57 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.360 | $50.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.38K | $0.008 | $19.05 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.009 | $21.43 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.07 | $0.860 | $0.06 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 310 | $0.890 | $275.9 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?No | buy | 95.53 | $0.840 | $80.25 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 158 | $0.998 | $157.68 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 150.2 | $0.998 | $149.9 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.330 | $13.86 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.739 | $73.93 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.02K | $0.002 | $14.04 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 7.51K | $0.003 | $22.52 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.360 | $15.12 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 90.2 | $0.932 | $84.07 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.210 | $3.15 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.210 | $3.15 | Aug 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | Aug 29, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.991 | $49.55 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$10B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?No | buy | 103.47 | $0.998 | $103.26 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.16K | $0.003 | $15.49 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.36K | $0.006 | $32.18 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 140 | $0.910 | $127.4 | May 30, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?Yes | buy | 9.34K | $0.002 | $18.67 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?No | buy | 63.35 | $0.988 | $62.59 | Apr 9, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?No | buy | 69.26 | $0.996 | $68.98 | Apr 9, 2025 |
Will Stuttgart win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 5.7K | $0.002 | $11.4 | Mar 10, 2025 |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.870 | $11.31 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 56 | $0.999 | $55.94 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.840 | $15.96 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?No | buy | 11 | $0.996 | $10.96 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?No | buy | 13 | $0.996 | $12.95 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Fulham wins the Premier League?No | buy | 11 | $0.996 | $10.96 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 18 | $0.996 | $17.93 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 12.72K | $0.005 | $63.61 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 18 | $0.860 | $15.48 | Jan 1, 2025 |