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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.45 | $0.955 | $0.44 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 23 | $0.610 | $14.03 | Jun 15, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 23 |
| $0.620 |
| $14.26 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.805 | $16.91 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 63 | $0.778 | $49.01 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.967 | $48.35 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.961 | $48.05 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.861 | $25.83 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.136 | $6.26 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.142 | $12.78 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.938 | $4.69 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 113 | $0.190 | $21.47 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.200 | $22.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 8 | $0.880 | $7.04 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 61 | $0.730 | $44.53 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 69 | $0.730 | $50.37 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.034 | $0.37 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.390 | $10.53 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.390 | $40.56 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.069 | $2.83 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.037 | $5.18 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 36 | $0.955 | $34.38 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 49 | $0.955 | $46.79 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.420 | $18.06 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.030 | $2.4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.034 | $2.72 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.028 | $2.24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.450 | $13.95 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 58 | $0.808 | $46.86 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 11 | $0.982 | $10.8 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.475 | $3.8 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.683 | $4.1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.071 | $1.07 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.928 | $4.64 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.977 | $4.89 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.977 | $4.89 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?No | sell | 5 | $0.949 | $4.75 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?No | buy | 5 | $0.963 | $4.81 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July?No | sell | 5 | $0.973 | $4.87 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 15 | $0.985 | $14.78 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?No | sell | 15 | $0.973 | $14.59 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?No | buy | 17 | $0.975 | $16.58 | May 26, 2025 |
 XRP all time high in May?No | sell | 17 | $0.992 | $16.86 | May 26, 2025 |
| XRP all time high in May?No | buy | 18 | $0.993 | $17.87 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 18 | $0.987 | $17.77 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship?No | buy | 18 | $0.987 | $17.77 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?No | sell | 6 | $0.965 | $5.79 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?No | buy | 19 | $0.935 | $17.77 | May 21, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | sell | 19 | $0.958 | $18.2 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.062 | $5.89 | May 19, 2025 |