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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 320.82 | $0.579 | $43.31 | -$142.44 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.43 | $0.070 | $1.29 | Aug 4, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 302.39 |
| $0.610 |
| $184.46 |
| Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 139.79 | $0.516 | $72.12 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 61.2 | $0.200 | $12.24 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 42.41 | $0.760 | $32.23 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Napoli win the Serie A?Yes | buy | 32.23 | $0.840 | $27.07 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 31.12 | $0.870 | $27.07 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 31.12 | $0.750 | $23.34 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.32 | $0.972 | $22.67 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 23.81 | $0.953 | $22.69 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.910 | $21.67 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 24-31?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 46°F or below on January 24?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 17.64 | $0.300 | $5.29 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 17.65 | $0.340 | $6 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.330 | $5.69 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 4.02 | $0.994 | $4 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Arsenal wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 72.37 | $0.191 | $13.82 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 72.38 | $0.166 | $12 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Jan 15, 2025 |