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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 714.29 | $0.140 | $11.07 | -$88.93 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)Yes | buy | 973.88 | $0.308 | $300 | Jan 4, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 428.41 |
| $0.716 |
| $306.74 |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)No | buy | 428.42 | $0.235 | $100.82 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.096 | $96.79 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | sell | 393.29 | $0.010 | $4.03 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | buy | 393.29 | $0.209 | $82.29 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.008 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 163.55 | $0.066 | $10.78 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.42K | $0.001 | $1.42 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 340.14 | $0.059 | $20 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 458.92 | $0.044 | $20 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.048 | $20 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 19.81 | $0.050 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 484.04 | $0.045 | $22 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.046 | $9.2 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 82.35 | $0.170 | $14 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.071 | $14.19 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 809.96 | $0.012 | $10 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 94.53 | $0.071 | $6.71 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 406.94 | $0.038 | $15.34 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.106 | $1.06 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.029 | $17.3 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 212.25 | $0.156 | $33.15 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 111.82 | $0.220 | $24.6 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.123 | $24.6 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 136.95 | $0.220 | $30.13 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 59.38 | $0.075 | $4.45 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 287.59 | $0.029 | $8.34 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.53 | $0.018 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 991.59 | $0.009 | $9 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.48K | $0.008 | $20 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 499.91 | $0.110 | $54.99 | Jun 3, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.024 | $44.33 | May 31, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?No | buy | 31.21 | $0.570 | $17.79 | May 4, 2025 |
Bolsonaro guilty?No | buy | 103 | $0.180 | $18.54 | May 4, 2025 |
Bolsonaro guilty?No | buy | 231 | $0.250 | $57.75 | May 4, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?No | buy | 444.07 | $0.023 | $10.19 | May 4, 2025 |
Will Buffett say "Inflation" 4+ times during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?No | buy | 326.2 | $0.460 | $150 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Buffett say "Inflation" 4+ times during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?No | buy | 162.75 | $0.510 | $83 | May 3, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.160 | $3.68 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump issue 20-24 executive orders in May?Yes | sell | 217.64 | $0.168 | $36.6 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump issue 15-19 executive orders in May?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.147 | $32.4 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?Yes | sell | 283.62 | $0.034 | $9.68 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump issue 15-19 executive orders in May?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.207 | $16.6 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump issue 15-19 executive orders in May?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.157 | $22 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump issue 20-24 executive orders in May?Yes | buy | 217.65 | $0.170 | $37 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?Yes | buy | 283.63 | $0.071 | $20 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Buffett say "Charlie" or "Munger" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?No | buy | 389.99 | $0.024 | $9.36 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | May 2, 2025 |