Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.900 | $30 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 18.07 |
| $0.830 |
| $15 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25.31 | $0.890 | $22.53 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No | buy | 21.03 | $0.951 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No | buy | 21.03 | $0.951 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 151.81 | $0.169 | $25.66 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 151.82 | $0.165 | $25 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100.97 | $0.190 | $19.18 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.96 | $0.993 | $20.81 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100.98 | $0.198 | $20 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.96 | $0.954 | $20 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 15.34 | $0.978 | $15 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 22.75 | $0.967 | $22 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.83 | $0.965 | $23 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.69 | $0.976 | $28 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 30.21 | $0.993 | $30 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 30.65 | $0.979 | $30 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.975 | $97.5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 36.05 | $0.971 | $35 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 35.5 | $0.986 | $35 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 25.77 | $0.971 | $25.02 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25.8 | $0.969 | $25 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.840 | $19.76 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 27.41 | $0.610 | $16.72 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 52.36 | $0.991 | $51.89 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 52.37 | $0.993 | $52 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 27.42 | $0.620 | $17 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Yes | sell | 25.27 | $0.890 | $22.49 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Yes | buy | 25.46 | $0.903 | $23 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 42.94 | $0.370 | $15.89 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 42.95 | $0.380 | $16.32 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 62.5 | $0.230 | $14.38 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 62.5 | $0.240 | $15 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 65.21 | $0.220 | $14.35 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 79.49 | $0.628 | $49.92 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 79.49 | $0.629 | $50 | Oct 22, 2024 |