Latest trade
Aug 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 3:35 AM UTC.
Analytics
luciousleft has made $205.13K on Polymarket, #998 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 47 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 3:35 AM UTC.
$4,433.02 median trade
Its latest 350 trades covered 46 markets; 95.4% were buys. They run from Aug 23, 2024 UTC to Aug 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 6.06 | $0.965 | $5.85 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-15 22:45 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 03:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
350 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 03:35 UTC
polymarket positions
49 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-17 08:14 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $233.36K and losing ones cost $28.11K across 47 settled positions. 91.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $38.38K on “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $14.95K on “Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes).
It first traded on 23 Aug 2024 and most recently on 17 Aug 2026. It has traded 47 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 33K |
| $0.975 |
| $32.18K |
| Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.975 | $4.88K | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes | buy | 367.71 | $0.330 | $121.34 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 315.42 | $0.927 | $292.39 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 31.05K | $0.880 | $27.32K | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 27.04K | $0.980 | $26.5K | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 9.23K | $0.979 | $9.03K | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 194.52K | $0.983 | $191.22K | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 577.87 | $0.982 | $567.47 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 4.01K | $0.989 | $3.97K | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 329.32 | $0.988 | $325.37 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10.55K | $0.988 | $10.43K | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 16.49K | $0.988 | $16.29K | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 34.19 | $0.987 | $33.75 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 13.49K | $0.987 | $13.31K | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10.52K | $0.986 | $10.37K | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 57.55K | $0.880 | $50.64K | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 220K | $0.910 | $200.2K | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.71K | $0.953 | $6.39K | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.39K | $0.953 | $10.86K | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.77K | $0.953 | $13.12K | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.92K | $0.952 | $8.5K | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.71K | $0.959 | $6.43K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.41K | $0.957 | $9.96K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.6K | $0.956 | $19.69K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.61K | $0.958 | $4.42K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 478.92 | $0.961 | $460.24 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.960 | $1.42K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.97K | $0.960 | $2.86K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.94K | $0.960 | $2.82K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.959 | $1.69K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.959 | $1.64K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.88K | $0.960 | $2.76K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.960 | $1.58K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.960 | $1.83K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.960 | $1.7K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 736 | $0.960 | $706.56 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.88K | $0.960 | $2.76K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.6K | $0.960 | $3.46K | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.29K | $0.956 | $20.36K | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.8K | $0.956 | $18.93K | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.46K | $0.956 | $21.47K | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 100K | $0.997 | $99.7K | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100K | $0.983 | $98.3K | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 36.75K | $0.997 | $36.64K | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 95.33K | $0.981 | $93.52K | Nov 17, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 102.65K | $0.979 | $100.49K | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 73.3K | $0.958 | $70.24K | Oct 22, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 110.89K | $0.900 | $99.8K | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.