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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.52 | $0.042 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.480 | $44.64 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 78 |
| $0.032 |
| $2.5 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.037 | $2.89 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.088 | $3.7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.550 | $34.65 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.490 | $30.87 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.033 | $0.99 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.040 | $2.32 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.070 | $6.16 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.240 | $16.32 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.240 | $28.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 51 | $0.971 | $49.52 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 51 | $0.969 | $49.42 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.988 | $49.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.220 | $9.9 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.510 | $43.86 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.510 | $43.86 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 71 | $0.700 | $49.7 | May 31, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.981 | $44.14 | May 30, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.982 | $44.19 | May 30, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.065 | $9.1 | May 30, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 144 | $0.073 | $10.51 | May 29, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.570 | $39.9 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.042 | $3.36 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 44 | $0.984 | $43.3 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.984 | $43.3 | May 28, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.580 | $42.34 | May 27, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.932 | $50.33 | May 26, 2026 |
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.003 | $0.28 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.930 | $13.02 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 5 | $0.094 | $0.47 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 69 | $0.094 | $6.49 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.928 | $12.99 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 79 | $0.094 | $7.43 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No | sell | 19 | $0.992 | $18.85 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No | buy | 19 | $0.927 | $17.61 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | sell | 17 | $0.985 | $16.75 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 19 | $0.945 | $17.96 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 19 | $0.945 | $17.96 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | sell | 19 | $0.950 | $18.05 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 19 | $0.950 | $18.05 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | sell | 25 | $0.637 | $15.93 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.050 | $1.45 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 18 | $0.968 | $17.42 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 16 | $0.912 | $14.59 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 19 | $0.918 | $17.44 | Sep 27, 2025 |
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.889 | $16.89 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 18 | $0.952 | $17.14 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 18 | $0.953 | $17.15 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 19 | $0.889 | $16.89 | Sep 24, 2025 |