Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 615.53 | $0.812 | $500 | Apr 3, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 3.8K |
| $0.660 |
| $2.51K |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 185.18 | $0.880 | $162.96 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 185.19 | $0.810 | $150 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.92K | $0.121 | $231.77 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.104 | $200.01 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETDown | buy | 23.83 | $0.668 | $15.93 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp | sell | 40.21 | $0.412 | $16.57 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp | buy | 39.58 | $0.480 | $19 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 375 | $0.050 | $18.75 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?Yes | sell | 475.34 | $0.002 | $0.87 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown | buy | 57.34 | $0.373 | $21.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.080 | $30 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?Yes | buy | 42.02 | $0.109 | $4.58 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?Yes | buy | 96.27 | $0.702 | $67.62 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.35K | $0.630 | $1.48K | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.930 | $1.48K | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.630 | $911.37 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 954.67 | $0.955 | $911.37 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 273.1 | $0.611 | $166.75 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 3.74K | $0.046 | $171.6 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 246.84 | $0.920 | $227.09 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETUp | buy | 199.77 | $0.050 | $9.99 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETUp | buy | 66.11 | $0.440 | $29.09 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETUp | buy | 132.63 | $0.740 | $98.15 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETUp | sell | 39.37 | $0.710 | $27.95 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETUp | buy | 38.75 | $0.500 | $19.38 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp | sell | 129.75 | $0.180 | $23.36 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 127.93 | $0.380 | $48.61 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETUp | sell | 238.42 | $0.021 | $5.07 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETUp | buy | 236.79 | $0.208 | $49.32 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETUp | sell | 118.06 | $0.453 | $53.43 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETUp | buy | 116.29 | $0.417 | $48.52 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETUp | buy | 291.32 | $0.698 | $203.45 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETUp | sell | 35.34 | $0.814 | $28.77 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETUp | buy | 34.8 | $0.557 | $19.39 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 197.24 | $0.699 | $137.8 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 782.88 | $0.180 | $140.92 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.74K | $0.322 | $1.2K | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 782.88 | $0.130 | $101.77 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 954.68 | $0.800 | $763.74 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.060 | $75 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETUp | sell | 43.76 | $0.372 | $16.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETUp | buy | 43.08 | $0.450 | $19.39 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETDown | buy | 128.72 | $0.764 | $98.38 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 30.51 | $0.320 | $9.76 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 494.45 | $0.200 | $98.89 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.72K | $0.315 | $543.12 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Mar 23, 2026 |