Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 0.48 | $0.256 | $0.02 | -$0.1 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.820 | $3.28 | Jun 21, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 32 |
| $0.820 |
| $26.24 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.930 | $26.04 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.080 | $5.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 45 | $0.480 | $21.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.480 | $28.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.820 | $28.7 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.820 | $28.7 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.670 | $17.42 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.953 | $10.48 | May 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.470 | $25.38 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 22 | $0.977 | $21.49 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.896 | $7.17 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.869 | $6.95 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.904 | $29.83 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.320 | $26.56 | May 23, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 52 | $0.700 | $36.4 | May 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 52 | $0.700 | $36.4 | May 23, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.260 | $5.72 | May 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 67 | $0.550 | $36.85 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.955 | $33.43 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 39 | $0.937 | $36.54 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.580 | $33.06 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 37 | $0.975 | $36.07 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.974 | $20.45 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 7 | $0.985 | $6.9 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.006 | $0.58 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?Yes | sell | 332 | $0.033 | $10.96 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 48 | $0.992 | $47.62 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 198 | $0.006 | $1.19 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 62 | $0.994 | $61.63 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 7 | $0.928 | $6.5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.006 | $0.04 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.017 | $2.04 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 224 | $0.006 | $1.34 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.006 | $0.61 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.017 | $0.1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 62 | $0.890 | $55.18 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 10 | $0.987 | $9.87 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 62 | $0.889 | $55.12 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 60 | $0.995 | $59.7 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.948 | $10.43 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 9 | $0.615 | $5.54 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.982 | $5.89 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 9 | $0.627 | $5.64 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.998 | $64.87 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 35 | $0.971 | $33.99 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.974 | $6.82 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 71 | $0.908 | $64.47 | Jul 30, 2025 |