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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.9 | $0.030 | $0.93 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 98 |
| $0.860 |
| $84.28 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 123 | $0.860 | $105.78 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 167 | $0.070 | $11.69 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.080 | $4.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 206 | $0.140 | $28.84 | Jun 23, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 167 | $0.460 | $76.82 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 168 | $0.895 | $150.36 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.982 | $98.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 153 | $0.110 | $16.83 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.110 | $29.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 226 | $0.730 | $164.98 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.840 | $49.56 | Jun 18, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 181 | $0.910 | $164.71 | Jun 17, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 181 | $0.910 | $164.71 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 187 | $0.880 | $164.56 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 187 | $0.880 | $164.56 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 133 | $0.580 | $77.14 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.570 | $75.81 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 178 | $0.410 | $72.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 86.28 | $0.580 | $50.04 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.600 | $79.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.184 | $31.46 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 8 | $0.630 | $5.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 149 | $0.640 | $95.36 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 107 | $0.959 | $102.61 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 259 | $0.650 | $168.35 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 259 | $0.650 | $168.35 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 173 | $0.972 | $168.16 | Jun 10, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 301 | $0.560 | $168.56 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 242 | $0.340 | $82.28 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 472 | $0.340 | $160.48 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 139 | $0.123 | $17.1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 308 | $0.120 | $36.96 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 227 | $0.893 | $202.71 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 218 | $0.931 | $202.96 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 218 | $0.922 | $201 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 361 | $0.539 | $194.58 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?No | buy | 232 | $0.711 | $164.95 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 185 | $0.887 | $164.1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?No | sell | 206 | $0.874 | $180.08 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?No | buy | 206 | $0.869 | $179.01 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.082 | $171.79 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 966 | $0.955 | $922.53 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 246 | $0.968 | $238.13 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.846 | $926.37 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.059 | $67.97 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.076 | $78.51 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 293.82 | $0.981 | $288.24 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.950 | $1.6 | Jul 4, 2025 |