Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.840 | $6.68 | -$0.04 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.770 | $2.08 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.650 |
| $6.15 |
| -$0.35 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.370 | $5.8 | +$2.1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.460 | $5.25 | +$0.65 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.490 | $4.28 | +$1.83 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.280 | $3.1 | +$0.3 |
 Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $2.4 | +$0.4 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 2.7 | $0.770 | $2.38 | +$0.3 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.050 | $1.18 | +$0.93 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 6.56 | $0.180 | $1.15 | -$0.03 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.056 | $0.58 | +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.002 |
| $0.05 |
| 13d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | 16d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.064 | $1.28 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.180 | $1.18 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.902 | $4.51 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.550 | $2.67 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 4.83 | $0.510 | $2.46 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.68 | $0.300 | $1.4 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.520 | $2.52 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.83 | $0.510 | $2.46 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.550 | $2.67 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 4.77 | $0.420 | $2 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.520 | $2.52 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.87 | $0.560 | $2.73 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.520 | $2.52 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 4.86 | $0.550 | $2.67 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.520 | $2.52 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.83 | $0.510 | $2.46 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.550 | $2.67 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 4.86 | $0.540 | $2.62 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.520 | $2.52 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETDown | buy | 4.82 | $0.490 | $2.36 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.19 | $0.590 | $1.88 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | sell | 10.01 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.79 | $0.380 | $1.82 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.77 | $0.430 | $2.05 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown | sell | 24.67 | $0.330 | $8.14 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 19.28 | $0.750 | $14.46 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.86 | $0.550 | $2.67 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.85 | $0.530 | $2.57 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.86 | $0.540 | $2.62 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.83 | $0.510 | $2.46 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.76 | $0.410 | $1.95 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.86 | $0.550 | $2.67 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.85 | $0.530 | $2.57 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETUp | buy | 4.87 | $0.560 | $2.73 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.540 | $2.62 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.77 | $0.420 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.520 | $2.52 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETDown | buy | 4.86 | $0.540 | $2.62 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETDown | buy | 4.83 | $0.500 | $2.41 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.85 | $0.530 | $2.57 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.520 | $2.52 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.540 | $2.62 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.85 | $0.530 | $2.57 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.87 | $0.560 | $2.73 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 4.87 | $0.560 | $2.73 | Apr 16, 2026 |