Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 0.4 | $0.810 | $0.36 | +$0.04 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.930 | $37.2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 78 |
| $0.110 |
| $8.58 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.110 | $8.58 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.900 | $40.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.810 | $41.31 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.937 | $4.69 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.885 | $37.17 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 84 | $0.470 | $39.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.650 | $35.1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.805 | $1.61 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 39 | $0.956 | $37.28 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 39 | $0.958 | $37.36 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 48 | $0.773 | $37.1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.774 | $38.7 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.032 | $1.63 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.041 | $2.26 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 25.34 | $0.960 | $24.33 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 31 | $0.957 | $29.67 | May 31, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 63 | $0.590 | $37.17 | May 30, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 38 | $0.969 | $36.82 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 93 | $0.420 | $39.06 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 0.69 | $0.901 | $0.62 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.004 | $0.11 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.985 | $0.99 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.097 | $6.98 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.986 | $1.67 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.052 | $2.29 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 14 | $0.972 | $13.61 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.981 | $13.73 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in April?No | buy | 14 | $0.965 | $13.51 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No | sell | 14 | $0.988 | $13.83 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 14 | $0.990 | $13.86 | May 10, 2025 |
 Starmer out before July?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.035 | $1.05 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.038 | $0.99 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.038 | $3.42 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?No | buy | 9 | $0.887 | $7.98 | May 10, 2025 |
| Starmer out before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.034 | $0.34 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.038 | $3.46 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win by 25–49 seats?No | sell | 14 | $0.934 | $13.08 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 9 | $0.952 | $8.57 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?No | sell | 14 | $0.983 | $13.76 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?No | buy | 14 | $0.985 | $13.79 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 14 | $0.983 | $13.76 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 14 | $0.985 | $13.79 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.975 | $1.5 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 17 | $0.998 | $16.97 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?No | sell | 14 | $0.965 | $13.51 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?No | buy | 14 | $0.965 | $13.51 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.061 | $1.71 | Mar 20, 2025 |