Latest trade
Aug 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 12:12 PM UTC.
Analytics
Indigo Kestrel E150 is down $170.66 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 12:12 PM UTC.
$1.63 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 15 markets; 32.0% were buys. They run from Jul 4, 2026 UTC to Aug 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 12.67 | $0.390 | $9.94 | +$5 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.020 | $1.34 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 11:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 12:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 12:12 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-14 08:40 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $161.54 and losing ones cost $316.14 across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $41.9 on “Solana Up or Down - February 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $49.46 on “Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET” (Down).
It first traded on 19 Feb 2026 and most recently on 12 Aug 2026, 69 days ago. It has traded 157 markets. Its open positions are worth $20.25 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5.32 |
| $0.931 |
| $5.13 |
| +$0.18 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.560 | $2.6 | -$0.2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat? | Yes | 1.55 | $0.931 | $1.49 | +$0.05 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 40.98 | $0.024 | $0.55 | -$0.43 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 2.28 | $0.220 | $0.54 | +$0.03 |
| sell |
| 20.4 |
| $0.052 |
| $1.06 |
| Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.57 | $0.460 | $2.1 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.79 | $0.460 | $3.12 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.65 | $0.137 | $2.97 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.39 | $0.128 | $1.71 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.02 | $0.123 | $0.62 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.97 | $0.281 | $1.4 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.01 | $0.323 | $2.26 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.47 | $0.322 | $1.44 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.39 | $0.412 | $2.22 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.424 | $1.14 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.91 | $0.580 | $1.11 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.580 | $1.11 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 3.71 | $0.310 | $1.15 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.5 | $0.040 | $2.62 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 7.23 | $0.370 | $2.68 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 7.03 | $0.390 | $2.74 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 6.97 | $0.400 | $2.79 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 7.18 | $0.390 | $2.8 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 6.64 | $0.430 | $2.86 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 6.64 | $0.390 | $2.59 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 6.68 | $0.400 | $2.67 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.460 | $4.78 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.550 | $1.55 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.21 | $0.120 | $0.75 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 0.59 | $0.995 | $0.59 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.020 | $0 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.996 | $0.13 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.996 | $0.13 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.67 | $0.300 | $3.2 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.53 | $0.029 | $0.13 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 0.37 | $0.994 | $0.37 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 0.43 | $0.994 | $0.43 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 0.43 | $0.994 | $0.43 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.994 | $1.5 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.210 | $0.42 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.48 | $0.310 | $4.49 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 14.13 | $0.230 | $3.25 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.62 | $0.310 | $0.19 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.59 | $0.037 | $0.24 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.03 | $0.037 | $0.19 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.037 | $0.74 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.280 | $4.37 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.