Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 123.33 | $0.065 | $2.47 | -$5.53 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 8d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 5.26 |
| $0.190 |
| $1.32 |
| +$0.32 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 137 | $0.047 | $0.55 | -$5.92 |
| sell |
| 111.11 |
| $0.009 |
| $1 |
| 8d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 260.17 | $0.002 | $0.52 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 16.94 | $0.170 | $2.88 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.198 | $3 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | sell | 4.54 | $0.990 | $4.49 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.118 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.070 | $1.25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 31.74 | $0.205 | $6.51 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 41.69 | $0.039 | $1.61 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.024 | $1.59 | May 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.230 | $4.83 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.057 | $1.7 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.063 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETDown | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETDown | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 20.29 | $0.999 | $20.27 | May 16, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 26.02 | $0.057 | $1.49 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.045 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 20.29 | $0.101 | $2.05 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 20.29 | $0.071 | $1.44 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 40.83 | $0.036 | $1.47 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 42.01 | $0.035 | $1.47 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12?Yes | buy | 62.47 | $0.051 | $3.19 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15?Yes | buy | 71.48 | $0.012 | $0.86 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 16?Yes | buy | 39.05 | $0.022 | $0.86 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 9.66 | $0.090 | $0.87 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 5.99 | $0.300 | $1.8 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETUp | buy | 6.26 | $0.140 | $0.88 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETDown | buy | 7.93 | $0.110 | $0.87 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.027 | $3 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 45.33 | $0.360 | $16.33 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.032 | $2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 20.29 | $0.115 | $2.33 | Apr 10, 2026 |