Analytics
Lucascostacastro is down $30.95 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 18.55 | $0.809 | $14.79 | -$0.21 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 00:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 05:31 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 00:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $57.33 and losing ones cost $102.87 across the latest 50 settled positions. 38% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.33 on “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” (No); the largest loss, $13.17 on “Will Wagner Moura win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?” (Yes).
It has traded 266 markets. Its open positions are worth $32.97 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.700 |
| $4.15 |
| +$0.65 |
| Will USD/BRL hit 6.25 (High) in 2026? | No | 6.09 | $0.850 | $3.53 | -$1.64 |
| Will USD/BRL hit 5.75 (High) in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.700 | $3.05 | -$0.45 |
| Will USD/BRL hit 6 (High) in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.750 | $2.88 | -$0.88 |
| Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.500 | $2.4 | -$0.1 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 2.77 | $0.722 | $2.17 | +$0.17 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
