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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 0.99 | $0.930 | $0.95 | +$0.03 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.969 | $38.76 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 0.81 |
| $0.955 |
| $0.79 |
| +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.969 |
| $38.76 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.190 | $25.65 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.910 | $60.97 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 111 | $0.510 | $56.61 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 13 | $0.860 | $11.18 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.310 | $17.36 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.320 | $48.64 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.750 | $4.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 86 | $0.820 | $70.52 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 76 | $0.820 | $62.32 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 106 | $0.670 | $71.02 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 31 | $0.740 | $22.94 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 9 | $0.860 | $7.74 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.050 | $1.15 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 7 | $0.957 | $6.7 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.320 | $18.56 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.330 | $19.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 156 | $0.310 | $48.36 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.310 | $45.26 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 71 | $0.930 | $66.03 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 97 | $0.750 | $72.75 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 85 | $0.720 | $61.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 126 | $0.590 | $74.34 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 49.02 | $0.590 | $28.92 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.774 | $36.38 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.171 | $14.02 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.081 | $6.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.590 | $58.41 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.590 | $58.41 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.540 | $14.58 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.840 | $52.92 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.520 | $10.92 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.145 | $3.34 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.138 | $16.28 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 108 | $0.440 | $47.52 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.088 | $3.26 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 56 | $0.933 | $52.25 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.930 | $52.08 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.039 | $6.08 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.052 | $5.3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.029 | $4.35 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.430 | $32.68 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 40 | $0.957 | $38.28 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 40 | $0.955 | $38.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.030 | $1.23 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.190 | $11.02 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 79 | $0.450 | $35.55 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 79 | $0.450 | $35.55 | Jun 3, 2026 |