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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.34K | $0.149 | $0.67 | -$199.33 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Jul 5, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.57K |
| $0.572 |
| $900 |
| Feb 15, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 384.61 | $0.100 | $38.46 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.130 | $50 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.149 | $200 | Jan 4, 2026 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 519.21 | $0.968 | $502.59 | Dec 30, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 519.21 | $0.963 | $500 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 686.86 | $0.728 | $500 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 304.39 | $0.882 | $268.45 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 681.81 | $0.953 | $649.46 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 121.21 | $0.216 | $26.2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Yes | buy | 392.16 | $0.510 | $200 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?Yes | buy | 306.87 | $0.652 | $200 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Yes | buy | 315.43 | $0.634 | $200 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 114.71 | $0.910 | $104.39 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 681.82 | $0.440 | $300 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 965.7 | $0.311 | $300 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 104.22 | $0.650 | $67.74 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 213.63 | $0.680 | $145.27 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.520 | $200 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 304.39 | $0.657 | $200 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.760 | $8 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 121.21 | $0.330 | $40 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 90.79 | $0.073 | $6.64 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?No | buy | 6.64 | $0.935 | $6.21 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 90.8 | $0.055 | $5 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jul 29, 2025 |