Latest trade
Mar 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:52 PM UTC.
Analytics
Likely-Spear is down $71.99 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:52 PM UTC.
$2.23 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 23 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Mar 21, 2026 UTC to Mar 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.09K | $0.694 | $1.02K | +$268.3 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 154.19 | $0.266 | $41.07 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 03:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
18 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 20:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 20:52 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 03:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.25K and losing ones cost $561.32 across the latest 50 settled positions. 46% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $813.73 on “Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?” (Yes); the largest loss, $183.23 on “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Mar 2026. It has traded 122 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.43K across 18 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 3.39K |
| $0.169 |
| $288.26 |
| -$285.33 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 773.23 | $0.240 | $43.3 | -$142.34 |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 51.65 | $0.480 | $33.31 | +$8.52 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 92.38 | $0.081 | $8.41 | +$0.92 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 40 | $0.130 | $5.6 | +$0.4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.55 | $0.884 | $5.16 | +$0.26 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 101.94 | $0.040 | $4.69 | +$0.61 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 92.38 | $0.033 | $3.65 | +$0.6 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 92.38 | $0.044 | $3.05 | -$1.02 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CA-17 House seat? | Yes | 138.08 | $0.060 | $2.76 | -$5.52 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 12.36 | $0.136 | $2.47 | +$0.79 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 32.06 | $0.027 | $2.36 | +$1.49 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 46.14 | $0.209 | $1.13 | -$8.51 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 24.99 | $0.021 | $0.84 | +$0.31 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 24.99 | $0.014 | $0.84 | +$0.49 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 30 | $0.041 | $0.8 | -$0.44 |
 Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.078 | $0.12 | -$6.12 |
| buy |
| 2.06 |
| $0.027 |
| $0.06 |
| Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 10?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.017 | $0.68 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.062 | $0.62 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?Yes | buy | 29.1 | $0.078 | $2.27 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?Yes | buy | 15.18 | $0.016 | $0.24 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be 12 or more?Yes | buy | 15.32 | $0.011 | $0.17 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.041 | $1.23 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.044 | $1.32 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.081 | $2.43 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.027 | $0.81 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.033 | $0.99 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Yes | buy | 32.54 | $0.149 | $4.85 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?Yes | buy | 32.54 | $0.160 | $5.21 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.160 | $3.22 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.149 | $2.99 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.540 | $35.22 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.160 | $3.36 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.081 | $4.05 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.044 | $2.2 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 12.38 | $0.044 | $0.54 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 12.38 | $0.081 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 12.38 | $0.040 | $0.5 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.033 | $1.65 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 28.54 | $0.209 | $5.96 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 12.38 | $0.033 | $0.41 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 51.65 | $0.480 | $24.79 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.160 | $3.36 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 9.56 | $0.040 | $0.38 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?Yes | buy | 15.54 | $0.160 | $2.49 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 24.99 | $0.021 | $0.52 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 24.99 | $0.014 | $0.35 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.540 | $70.2 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?Yes | buy | 23.16 | $0.123 | $2.85 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?Yes | buy | 14.12 | $0.146 | $2.06 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.083 | $1.66 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.083 | $1.66 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 24.87 | $0.083 | $2.06 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.149 | $12.52 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5.28 | $0.310 | $1.64 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 12.68 | $0.310 | $3.93 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 16.9 | $0.310 | $5.24 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 12.68 | $0.310 | $3.93 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 16.9 | $0.310 | $5.24 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 22.53 | $0.310 | $6.98 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 30.05 | $0.310 | $9.32 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 17.6 | $0.209 | $3.68 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.