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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.35 | $0.542 | $0.27 | +$0.08 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.024 | $0.1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 0.99 |
| $0.047 |
| $0.02 |
| -$0.03 |
| sell |
| 8 |
| $0.540 |
| $4.32 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.550 | $8.8 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 52 | $0.970 | $50.44 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.963 | $50.08 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 117 | $0.036 | $4.21 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 161 | $0.036 | $5.8 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.300 | $29.4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.300 | $48.9 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.046 | $2.16 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 155.93 | $0.047 | $7.33 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.490 | $5.39 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.490 | $40.67 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 15.59 | $0.167 | $2.6 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 174 | $0.184 | $32.02 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.027 | $2.05 | May 31, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 45 | $0.690 | $31.05 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.031 | $1.49 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.030 | $4.74 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.976 | $32.21 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 64 | $0.760 | $48.64 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.760 | $6.08 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.440 | $40.04 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.570 | $9.69 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.630 | $59.22 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 48 | $0.720 | $34.56 | May 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 49.39 | $0.882 | $43.56 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 68 | $0.780 | $53.04 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 68 | $0.790 | $53.72 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.950 | $1.3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.990 | $1.39 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.990 | $1.8 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.990 | $1.31 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.990 | $1.78 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 21 | $0.974 | $20.45 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | sell | 15 | $0.939 | $14.08 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | sell | 7 | $0.946 | $6.62 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | sell | 7 | $0.949 | $6.64 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?Yes | sell | 135 | $0.050 | $6.75 | Mar 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.046 | $2.02 | Mar 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 7 | $0.959 | $6.71 | Mar 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.043 | $3.57 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21?No | sell | 19 | $0.982 | $18.66 | Mar 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21?No | buy | 5 | $0.984 | $4.92 | Mar 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21?No | buy | 14.25 | $0.983 | $14.01 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Ripple above $2.45 on March 14?No | buy | 20 | $0.882 | $17.64 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 18 | $0.966 | $17.39 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?No | sell | 18 | $0.945 | $17.01 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?No | buy | 18 | $0.948 | $17.06 | Mar 12, 2025 |