Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 48 | $0.956 | $45.89 | Jun 2, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 48 |
| $0.957 |
| $45.94 |
| Jun 2, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.480 | $2.88 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 42 | $0.986 | $41.41 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 63 | $0.728 | $45.86 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 63 | $0.774 | $48.76 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 51 | $0.956 | $48.76 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 51 | $0.956 | $48.76 | May 31, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.969 | $48.45 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.969 | $48.45 | May 30, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.440 | $17.16 | May 30, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 70 | $0.690 | $48.3 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 70 | $0.690 | $48.3 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.011 | $1.02 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.011 | $1.02 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 6.7 | $0.984 | $6.59 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.965 | $17.37 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 2 | $0.996 | $1.99 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 14 | $0.907 | $12.7 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.986 | $1.8 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 14 | $0.950 | $13.3 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?No | sell | 14 | $0.987 | $13.82 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 14 | $0.960 | $13.44 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 14 | $0.984 | $13.78 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 16 | $0.976 | $15.62 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 16 | $0.978 | $15.65 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 14 | $0.981 | $13.73 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 14 | $0.992 | $13.89 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 14 | $0.992 | $13.89 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.988 | $15.81 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 15 | $0.947 | $14.21 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.010 | $0.09 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.010 | $0.31 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.097 | $3.4 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No | sell | 12 | $0.958 | $11.5 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No | buy | 12 | $0.962 | $11.54 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.098 | $5.29 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?No | sell | 15 | $0.988 | $14.82 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No | sell | 9 | $0.028 | $0.25 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No | sell | 66 | $0.025 | $1.65 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?No | sell | 16 | $0.886 | $14.18 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No | buy | 29 | $0.015 | $0.44 | May 7, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 17 | $0.984 | $16.73 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?No | sell | 17 | $0.987 | $16.78 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?No | buy | 17 | $0.986 | $16.76 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will the SPD be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.988 | $16.8 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Dogecoin above $0.17 on April 11?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.026 | $0.44 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 17 | $0.992 | $16.86 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok?No | sell | 12 | $0.947 | $11.36 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok?No | buy | 18 | $0.947 | $17.05 | Apr 10, 2025 |