Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | Yes | 3.84K | $0.949 | $3.79K | +$150.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Yes | buy | 526.16 | $0.950 | $499.85 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 562.8 |
| $0.951 |
| $559.42 |
| +$24.46 |
| buy |
| 312 |
| $0.940 |
| $293.28 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 258 | $0.963 | $248.45 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 304.8 | $0.940 | $286.51 | 13d ago |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 3.45K | $0.991 | $3.42K | 22d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?No | buy | 157 | $0.979 | $153.7 | 22d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 449.28 | $0.940 | $422.32 | 22d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.995 | $19.9 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 110.15 | $0.990 | $109.05 | 22d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.994 | $2.21K | 26d ago |
 Will Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce?No | buy | 796.01 | $0.999 | $795.21 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.71K | $0.998 | $2.71K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.757 | $1.1K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.964 | $48.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?No | buy | 53.95 | $0.940 | $50.71 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Over $37.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?No | buy | 187.7 | $0.960 | $180.19 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Over $37.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?No | buy | 99.2 | $0.907 | $89.95 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | buy | 629.94 | $0.900 | $566.95 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Over $27.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.989 | $39.56 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.999 | $1.25K | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 2.1K | $0.999 | $2.1K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 343.62 | $0.997 | $342.59 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 659.74 | $0.978 | $645.23 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 661.05 | $0.976 | $645.18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 338.96 | $0.951 | $322.35 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 431.65 | $0.933 | $402.73 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 556.4 | $0.904 | $502.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 656.67 | $0.959 | $629.75 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 13?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.998 | $10.73 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?Yes | buy | 95.87 | $0.991 | $94.99 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.06K | $0.999 | $3.05K | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.05K | $0.985 | $3.01K | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | sell | 1.48K | $0.999 | $1.48K | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 869.2 | $0.994 | $863.98 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes | sell | 2.94K | $0.999 | $2.94K | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 1.38K | $0.994 | $1.37K | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 252.98 | $0.971 | $245.61 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 156.27 | $0.948 | $148.14 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 920.74 | $0.956 | $880.23 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 596.1 | $0.994 | $592.52 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 600.05 | $0.995 | $597.05 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 466.04 | $0.983 | $458.12 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.07 | $0.999 | $83.99 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.51 | $0.993 | $17.39 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.66 | $0.890 | $17.5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.31 | $0.890 | $34.99 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 35.34 | $0.969 | $34.24 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 34.56 | $0.990 | $34.21 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No | buy | 68.47 | $0.959 | $65.66 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 30.63 | $0.990 | $30.32 | Oct 27, 2025 |