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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2.85K | $0.996 | $2.84K | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes| buy |
| 2.85K |
| $0.667 |
| $1.9K |
| Mar 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 396.17 | $0.970 | $384.31 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 1.72K | $0.558 | $963.27 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.549 | $54.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 172.97 | $0.689 | $119.18 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 55 | $0.899 | $49.43 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 160.09 | $0.950 | $152.09 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.956 | $1K | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 236.08 | $0.950 | $224.28 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.97K | $0.960 | $2.85K | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.28K | $0.870 | $2.85K | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.28K | $0.890 | $2.92K | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.35K | $0.871 | $2.92K | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.35K | $0.870 | $2.92K | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 3.07K | $0.950 | $2.92K | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2.37K | $0.820 | $1.94K | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?No | sell | 2.18K | $0.892 | $1.94K | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 692.05 | $0.880 | $609 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.880 | $1.59K | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 2.39K | $0.920 | $2.2K | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?No | buy | 378.13 | $0.670 | $253.35 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Megaquake by October 31?No | sell | 254.52 | $0.995 | $253.35 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2.39K | $0.880 | $2.11K | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Megaquake by October 31?No | buy | 254.52 | $0.957 | $243.45 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 2.35K | $0.840 | $1.97K | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes | sell | 327.87 | $0.350 | $114.75 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes | buy | 327.87 | $0.305 | $100 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | sell | 668.28 | $0.127 | $84.71 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 104.28 | $0.123 | $12.83 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 564 | $0.122 | $68.88 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 350 | $0.818 | $286.3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?No | buy | 200.73 | $0.935 | $187.68 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.900 | $1.35K | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | sell | 248 | $0.190 | $47.12 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.190 | $19.38 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | sell | 233 | $0.171 | $39.91 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?No | buy | 700.23 | $0.831 | $581.78 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | buy | 51.42 | $0.250 | $12.86 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.179 | $125 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | buy | 946.49 | $0.149 | $141.23 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | sell | 39.37 | $0.123 | $4.84 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?No | sell | 152 | $0.091 | $13.78 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?No | buy | 152 | $0.118 | $17.99 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?No | buy | 100 | $0.921 | $92.1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 28.87 | $0.400 | $11.55 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.400 | $9.6 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 310.06 | $0.400 | $124.02 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.008 | $0.06 | Jul 8, 2025 |