Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 USMCA extended in 2026? | No | 333.07 | $0.576 | $294.77 | +$102.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sol Zanetti win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 322.6 |
| $0.628 |
| $246.79 |
| +$44.2 |
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 256.25 | $0.789 | $244.72 | +$42.64 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 255.61 | $0.841 | $241.42 | +$26.44 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 169.15 | $0.786 | $129.4 | -$3.62 |
 Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | No | 124.65 | $0.720 | $112.18 | +$22.48 |
 Will Viggo Björck win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | No | 82.26 | $0.943 | $81.07 | +$3.47 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 112.55 | $0.673 | $79.91 | +$4.12 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 85.33 | $0.790 | $68.43 | +$1.01 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 78.94 | $0.710 | $68.29 | +$12.23 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 104 | $0.779 | $64.74 | -$16.33 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.780 | $46.25 | +$7.27 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50 | $0.877 | $43.38 | -$0.46 |
 Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | No | 55 | $0.714 | $42.35 | +$3.1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | No | 46 | $0.738 | $41.4 | +$7.47 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 250.85 | $0.243 | $36.12 | -$24.97 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 55.72 | $0.528 | $30.65 | +$1.23 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | No | 35.07 | $0.406 | $28.23 | +$14.01 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 40 | $0.769 | $28.2 | -$2.55 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 140.45 | $0.107 | $25.28 | +$10.27 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 27.27 | $0.561 | $23.59 | +$8.28 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 25.59 | $0.653 | $22.27 | +$5.55 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | No | 55 | $0.566 | $20.08 | -$11.07 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 274 | $0.130 | $19.87 | -$15.64 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? | No | 21.89 | $0.488 | $17.73 | +$7.04 |
| buy |
| 9.09 |
| $0.220 |
| $2 |
| 4d ago |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.037 | $0.19 | 7d ago |
 Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?No | buy | 10.6 | $0.944 | $10 | 9d ago |
 Will the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 9d ago |
 Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.030 | $0.15 | 9d ago |
| Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.030 | $0.15 | 9d ago |
 Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?No | sell | 6 | $0.020 | $0.12 | 9d ago |
 Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 17.1 | $0.060 | $1.03 | 12d ago |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | 12d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 22.12 | $0.954 | $21.1 | 24d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 756.09 | $0.001 | $1 | 26d ago |
| USMCA extended in 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.820 | $21.32 | 27d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 19.68 | $0.300 | $5.9 | 28d ago |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| USMCA extended in 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.91 | $0.350 | $0.67 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu in August?Yes | sell | 2.52 | $0.650 | $1.64 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.918 | $9.19 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.927 | $9.27 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Viggo Björck win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?No | sell | 10 | $0.977 | $9.77 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.012 | $0.12 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.935 | $4.68 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| USMCA extended in 2026?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No | sell | 5.45 | $0.972 | $5.3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| USMCA extended in 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.021 | $0.32 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.033 | $0.17 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.013 | $0.13 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?Yes | sell | 1.24 | $0.005 | $0.01 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 14?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes | sell | 21.99 | $0.070 | $1.54 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Adam Novotný win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?No | sell | 10.47 | $0.994 | $10.41 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Yes | sell | 54.56 | $0.080 | $4.36 | Jul 22, 2026 |