Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.580 | $3.29 | +$1.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.81 | $0.520 | $2.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.76 |
| $0.420 |
| $3.12 |
| +$1.12 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2.64 | +$0.64 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.667 | $2.55 | +$0.55 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 4.44 | $0.450 | $1.27 | -$0.73 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.64 | $0.550 | $0.27 | -$1.73 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 4.82 | $0.623 | $0 | -$3 |
| buy |
| 3.64 |
| $0.550 |
| $2 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.490 | $2.22 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.638 | $2 | May 18, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.330 | $1.5 | May 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.940 | $4.08 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | May 5, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.667 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.810 | $4.5 | May 3, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.73 | $0.670 | $2.5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.530 | $2.89 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.750 | $2.94 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 4 | $0.991 | $3.96 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.957 | $3.83 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.740 | $2.92 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.700 | $2.5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.623 | $3 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.640 | $2.78 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.999 | $4.16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.620 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2.32 | $0.999 | $2.32 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.360 | $1.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight RidersMumbai Indians | sell | 1.56 | $0.999 | $1.56 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.999 | $3.57 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight RidersMumbai Indians | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South AfricaSouth Africa | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs PakistanPakistan | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.999 | $3.5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| T20 World Cup: India vs New ZealandNew Zealand | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New ZealandSouth Africa | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs PakistanPakistan | sell | 8.62 | $0.999 | $8.61 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| T20 World Cup: India vs West IndiesWest Indies | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs PakistanPakistan | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Feb 27, 2026 |