Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 20?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.04 |
| $0.992 |
| $5 |
| May 20, 2026 |
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.993 | $4.98 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.990 | $4.96 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 60 and 70?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 23, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $0.00 end of February?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 13 be less than 1,600,000?No | sell | 10.1 | $0.965 | $9.75 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 13 be less than 1,600,000?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft reach $630 in February?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.981 | $4.95 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | sell | 5.06 | $0.984 | $4.98 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.987 | $4.96 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 26 - February 1 be greater than 15,250,000?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 3.5%?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.977 | $4.9 | Feb 2, 2026 |