Analytics
Resolved No on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 10% on 6 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 6 May 2026 to 16 May 2026, the highest close was 10% on 6 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.3 points down, to 3.7% on 7 May 2026. $4.65M traded over the market's life.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 6:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 6 May 2026 – 16 May 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 May 2026 | 10.0% |
| 16 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rowantg | Yes | 10K |
| VProfessor01 | Yes | 9K |
| gabruraja | Yes | 6K |
| erlichfly23 | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xi-meets-with-iranian-officials-by-may-15
| wrub | Yes | 5K |
| Renniweg99 | Yes | 5K |
| Gleaming-Immortal-Blossom | Yes | 5K |
| sivashankar | Yes | 4.95K |
| Frightened-Inside | Yes | 3.12K |
| Danson28 | Yes | 3K |
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