Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No | buy | 1M | $0.001 | $1K | Jun 11, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1M |
| $0.001 |
| $1K |
| Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 15K | $0.041 | $621.27 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 13K | $0.070 | $905.19 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.190 | $379.5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.058 | $406 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.010 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.7K | $0.065 | $435.5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.210 | $420 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 7.35K | $0.068 | $500 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 9.08K | $0.055 | $500 | May 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.79K | $0.080 | $143.6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.280 | $350 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes | buy | 3.06K | $0.033 | $100 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | buy | 3.65K | $0.027 | $100 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.001 | $100 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.005 | $20 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.039 | $84.49 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 918.67 | $0.250 | $229.67 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | buy | 381.12 | $0.011 | $4.19 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 6.6K | $0.998 | $6.59K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 3K | $0.998 | $2.99K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 135.77 | $0.170 | $23.08 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 744.79 | $0.134 | $100 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.470 | $145.7 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.67 | $0.390 | $7.67 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.240 | $251.25 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.180 | $3.78 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.163 | $200 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.093 | $100 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.060 | $70 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.024 | $50 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 3K | $0.998 | $2.99K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.5K | $0.769 | $5K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.3K | $0.832 | $1.91K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.33K | $0.003 | $100 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.67K | $0.003 | $50 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 438.1 | $0.014 | $6.23 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.003 | $15 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 438.11 | $0.046 | $20 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 111.11 | $0.580 | $64.44 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 386.93 | $0.015 | $5.8 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 386.93 | $0.026 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 100K | $0.007 | $700 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 92.05K | $0.010 | $918.93 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 119.12K | $0.008 | $1K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 28.57K | $0.007 | $200 | Apr 8, 2026 |