Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.790 | $32.39 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 8 |
| $0.560 |
| $4.48 |
| Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.560 | $32.48 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.954 | $32.44 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.016 | $1.17 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 11 | $0.979 | $10.77 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 11 | $0.979 | $10.77 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.989 | $35.6 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.989 | $35.6 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.966 | $31.88 | May 31, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.500 | $32.5 | May 30, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.500 | $11 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.968 | $35.82 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.969 | $35.85 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.978 | $32.27 | May 29, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 46 | $0.710 | $32.66 | May 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 46 | $0.710 | $32.66 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.019 | $1.39 | May 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.440 | $5.72 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.440 | $15.84 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.041 | $1.35 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 42 | $0.860 | $36.12 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 42 | $0.866 | $36.37 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 15 | $0.997 | $14.96 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.988 | $1.42 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Mario Grech be the next pope?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.988 | $1.97 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?No | buy | 16 | $0.896 | $14.34 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 15 | $0.993 | $14.9 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?No | sell | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?No | buy | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.026 | $1.17 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.027 | $0.81 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.127 | $1.91 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 8 | $0.979 | $7.83 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 8 | $0.984 | $7.87 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be 48.5% or moreon March 28?No | sell | 16 | $0.997 | $15.95 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?No | buy | 15 | $0.978 | $14.67 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 15 | $0.974 | $14.61 | Mar 15, 2025 |