Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.350 | $5.25 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 63 |
| $0.350 |
| $22.05 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.340 | $10.88 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 35 | $0.977 | $34.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 35 | $0.977 | $34.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 36 | $0.680 | $24.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 51 | $0.680 | $34.68 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.930 | $29.76 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.947 | $1.89 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 39 | $0.750 | $29.25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.740 | $28.86 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.880 | $32.56 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.945 | $32.13 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.840 | $31.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.937 | $25.3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.850 | $33.15 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.850 | $33.15 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.820 | $29.52 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.890 | $32.04 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.965 | $29.92 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.965 | $29.92 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.969 | $31.98 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 46 | $0.710 | $32.66 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 46 | $0.710 | $32.66 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.960 | $32.64 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.960 | $32.64 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.178 | $11.93 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.194 | $13 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.807 | $1.61 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.785 | $23.55 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.949 | $30.37 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 31 | $0.973 | $30.16 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 35 | $0.957 | $33.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 35 | $0.956 | $33.46 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 24 | $0.969 | $23.26 | May 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 24 | $0.969 | $23.26 | May 31, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 34 | $0.984 | $33.46 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.014 | $0.74 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.058 | $0.46 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 35 | $0.755 | $26.43 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.747 | $26.15 | May 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.596 | $20.86 | May 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.540 | $31.32 | May 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.9 | $0.530 | $8.96 | May 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 56 | $0.780 | $43.68 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.932 | $31.69 | May 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.800 | $30.4 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.097 | $3.78 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 60 | $0.637 | $38.22 | May 24, 2026 |