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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: Other | No | 19.96 | $0.997 | $19.89 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherNo | buy | 19.96 | $0.997 | $19.9 | 2d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 21.2 |
| $0.938 |
| $19.9 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 21.21 | $0.943 | $20 | 18d ago |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.949 | $9.98 | 18d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 10.12 | $0.991 | $10.03 | 18d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in August?No | sell | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | 19d ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in August?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | 20d ago |
 Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 20.63 | $0.960 | $19.8 | 20d ago |
| Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 20.64 | $0.969 | $20 | 26d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 20.26 | $0.984 | $19.94 | 26d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 20.26 | $0.987 | $20 | 27d ago |
 Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No | sell | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | 27d ago |
| Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 25.46 | $0.978 | $24.9 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 25.45 | $0.969 | $24.66 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 25.46 | $0.982 | $25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.36 | $0.964 | $9.99 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 15.07 | $0.995 | $14.99 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 15.08 | $0.995 | $15 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 18.69 | $0.267 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 30.48 | $0.983 | $29.96 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 30.49 | $0.984 | $30 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 35.17 | $0.995 | $34.99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 35.18 | $0.995 | $35 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.058 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 19.01 | $0.998 | $18.97 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?No | sell | 20.24 | $0.985 | $19.94 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 19.02 | $0.999 | $19 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.988 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 15.32 | $0.979 | $15 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?No | sell | 24.36 | $0.990 | $24.12 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?No | buy | 24.37 | $0.985 | $24 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 15.32 | $0.979 | $15 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 39.67 | $0.982 | $38.96 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 39.67 | $0.983 | $39 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 18.15 | $0.996 | $18.08 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.920 | $19.99 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.15 | $0.992 | $18 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 20.06 | $0.995 | $19.96 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 21.53 | $0.935 | $20.13 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 21.54 | $0.929 | $20 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | sell | 9.5 | $0.999 | $9.49 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | sell | 10.03 | $0.998 | $10.01 | May 22, 2026 |