Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.45 | $0.957 | $0.44 | +$0.01 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.910 | $29.12 | Jun 26, 2026 |
![]() |
| Yes |
| 0.88 |
| $0.778 |
| $0.18 |
| -$0.5 |
| sell |
| 16 |
| $0.900 |
| $14.4 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.890 | $42.72 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 46 | $0.860 | $39.56 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.500 | $36 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.090 | $6.75 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.300 | $20.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.067 | $2.75 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 47 | $0.170 | $7.99 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.068 | $1.77 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.067 | $1.74 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 8 | $0.420 | $3.36 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.780 | $31.98 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.780 | $25.74 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.978 | $45.97 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 16 | $0.957 | $15.31 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.047 | $2.07 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.046 | $2.02 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.490 | $19.11 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 59 | $0.790 | $46.61 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.790 | $46.61 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.550 | $42.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.024 | $1.94 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.027 | $1.3 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 0.98 | $0.903 | $0.88 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.950 | $1.86 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 14 | $0.985 | $13.79 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 14 | $0.984 | $13.78 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?No | buy | 14 | $0.991 | $13.87 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.987 | $4.94 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.988 | $1.96 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will Hwang Kyo-ahn win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | sell | 6 | $0.998 | $5.99 | May 24, 2025 |
Will Hwang Kyo-ahn win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | buy | 15 | $0.965 | $14.48 | May 23, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No | buy | 14 | $0.978 | $13.69 | May 20, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 16–23?No | buy | 14 | $0.993 | $13.9 | May 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 14 | $0.987 | $13.82 | May 19, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.949 | $14.24 | May 17, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 16 | $0.890 | $14.24 | May 17, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?No | sell | 15 | $0.997 | $14.96 | May 15, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?No | buy | 15 | $0.985 | $14.78 | May 13, 2025 |
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 15 | $0.957 | $14.35 | May 12, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?No | sell | 14 | $0.977 | $13.68 | May 11, 2025 |
Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.008 | $0.24 | May 11, 2025 |
Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.008 | $0.69 | May 11, 2025 |
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 14 | $0.992 | $13.89 | May 10, 2025 |
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No | sell | 15 | $0.958 | $14.37 | May 10, 2025 |
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.961 | $14.42 | May 9, 2025 |
Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendumYes | sell | 13 | $0.030 | $0.39 | May 9, 2025 |
Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendumYes | buy | 105 | $0.030 | $3.15 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Amazon buy TikTok?No | buy | 16 | $0.928 | $14.85 | May 8, 2025 |