Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.39 | $0.590 | $7.12 | +$0.4 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.39 | $0.590 | $6.72 | 29d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 10.54 |
| $0.031 |
| $0.33 |
| 29d ago |
 Will Daemon Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Helaena Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?Yes | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Helaena Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.998 | $4.83 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 3.88 | $0.920 | $3.57 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Daemon Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.960 | $1.52 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.54 | $0.440 | $0.24 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.18 | $0.440 | $0.52 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.98 | $0.450 | $1.34 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.88 | $0.440 | $0.39 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.440 | $0.45 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.450 | $1.09 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.450 | $1.71 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.15 | $0.440 | $2.27 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.43 | $0.440 | $0.19 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.56 | $0.440 | $0.25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.440 | $0.14 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.8 | $0.440 | $2.55 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.730 | $11.68 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.920 | $7.36 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 7.9 | $0.810 | $6.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by August 15?No | buy | 7.97 | $0.979 | $7.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 7.97 | $0.961 | $7.66 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 7.87 | $0.939 | $7.39 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 5.82 | $0.947 | $5.51 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 7.88 | $0.947 | $7.46 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.550 | $4.62 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.68 | $0.560 | $5.98 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.560 | $9.03 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 18.07 | $0.820 | $14.82 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | sell | 3.45 | $0.871 | $3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | buy | 2.36 | $0.924 | $2.18 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.924 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | sell | 3.82 | $0.939 | $3.59 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | buy | 3.83 | $0.940 | $3.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 116.06 | $0.080 | $9.28 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | sell | 18.31 | $0.710 | $13 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 36.92 | $0.130 | $4.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.170 | $6.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 33.91 | $0.450 | $15.26 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.450 | $2.24 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 30.56 | $0.210 | $6.42 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 37.36 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 15.88 | $0.170 | $2.7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 3.08 | $0.038 | $0.12 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 3.1 | $0.044 | $0.14 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.170 | $1.18 | Jul 29, 2026 |