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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 54.23 | $0.461 | $34.14 | +$9.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 10.24 | $0.488 | $5 | 19d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 13.93 |
| $0.580 |
| $10.38 |
| +$2.3 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.490 | $7 | $0 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 13.28 | $0.640 | $6.97 | -$1.53 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 10.24 | $0.488 | $6.05 | +$1.05 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.4 | $0.500 | $5.76 | +$0.06 |
 Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | Yes | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3.88 | +$0.88 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 23.7 | $0.250 | $3.46 | -$2.46 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 10 | $0.350 | $2.75 | -$0.75 |
| Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | Yes | 10.75 | $0.093 | $1.97 | +$0.97 |
| buy |
| 9.09 |
| $0.440 |
| $4 |
| 19d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?Yes | buy | 17.71 | $0.210 | $3.72 | 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 21?Yes | buy | 31.63 | $0.158 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.4 | $0.500 | $5.7 | 19d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.23 | $0.378 | $5 | 19d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 11.17 | $0.600 | $6.7 | 19d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 24.66 | $0.213 | $5.25 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp | buy | 10.1 | $0.510 | $5.15 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | sell | 20.82 | $0.930 | $19.36 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | sell | 20.4 | $0.200 | $4.08 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETDown | sell | 20 | $0.508 | $10.17 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETUp | sell | 19.6 | $0.550 | $10.78 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown | sell | 20.3 | $0.640 | $12.99 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | sell | 21.27 | $0.910 | $19.36 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | sell | 27.94 | $0.964 | $26.94 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 27.94 | $0.680 | $19 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp | sell | 17.01 | $0.950 | $16.16 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 20.42 | $0.490 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown | sell | 10.63 | $0.880 | $9.35 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 7.31 | $0.110 | $0.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.877 | $23.7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 13.93 | $0.580 | $8.08 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.093 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.560 | $6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.490 | $7 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?Yes | buy | 11.06 | $0.452 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.074 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?Yes | sell | 13.01 | $0.990 | $12.88 | Jul 28, 2026 |