Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 18% on 30 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 18% on 30 Apr 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 26 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 11% on 1 May 2025. $2.48K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 7:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 30 Apr 2025 – 1 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2025 | 18.0% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Noysa | No | 1.02 |
| NiGriMa671 | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yves Francois Blanchet announces he is resigning as head of Bloc Quebecois or otherwise ceases to be head of the Liberal Party of Canada for any length of time between April 29, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Yves Francois Blanchet's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Yves Francois Blanchet or Bloc Quebecois, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/yves-francois-blanchet-out-as-leader-of-bloc-quebecois-before-june
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