Analytics
The Up side is at 96%, up 46 points from 50% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026, the highest close was 96% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 89.5% on 25 Oct 2026.
$2.3K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.3K since listing. The order book holds $21.32K, with a 2.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 34 trades, $957.51 bought Up and $61.24 bought Down.
The largest Up position is chilloutTt with 564 shares; the largest Down position is beoli with 249.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 5:42 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 96.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chilloutTt | Up | 563.83 |
| beoli | Down | 249.1 |
| qqqq88888 | Down | 130 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Oct 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xrp-up-or-down-on-october-25-2026
| vedaresearch.xrp |
| Down |
| 118.23 |
| Coral Sphinx 0B91 | Down | 68.53 |
| 888-888 | Up | 50 |
| nikaq | Down | 37.27 |
| Impressive-Steak | Down | 30.04 |
| Accurate-Drake-Greed | Up | 24.1 |
| a5533 | Down | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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