Analytics
Yes is at 96.8%, up 42 points from 54.5% when the market opened on 14 May 2026.
Across the 161 daily closes on record from 14 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.3% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 54.5% on 14 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 95.5%; a month before, 91.1%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 82% on 15 May 2026.
December 31 is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?”, ahead of October 31 at 0.1%.
$6 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $16.91K since listing. The order book holds $22.81K, with a 2.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 159 trades, $3.97K bought Yes and $1.61K bought No; the largest was a $1.01K buy of Yes at 95.8¢.
The largest Yes position is fqy2026 with 2.2K shares; the largest No position is Numitus1994 with 2K. Ten wallets hold 78.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 161 points, 14 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | 54.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 96.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fqy2026 | Yes | 2.24K |
| Numitus1994 | No | 2.03K |
| MaoZeDonK | No | 943.64 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lee Jae-Myung meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Lee Jae-Myung and Xi Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xi-meets-with-lee-jae-myung-by
| thoodr |
| Yes |
| 750 |
| Regardeddd | No | 469.25 |
| lucylucylucy | No | 318.36 |
| display300 | Yes | 300 |
| dantes-206 | No | 200.05 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 178.33 |
| trumpfive | Yes | 149 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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