Analytics
Yes is at 4.3%, down 12 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 4 Jul 2025.
Across the 446 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (35 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32.5% on 26 Jul 2025 and the lowest 2.5% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.5%; a month before, 3.7%. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 23% on 5 Jul 2025.
$153.08K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $16.25M since listing. The order book holds $298.41K, with a 0.10% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $14.29K bought Yes and $169.23K bought No; the largest was a $26.01K sell of No at 96.2¢.
The largest Yes position is rollsrolls with 686K shares; the largest No position is onekey02 with 334K. Ten wallets hold 44.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 446 points, 4 Jul 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2025 | 16.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rollsrolls | Yes | 686K |
| Aurelian9 | Yes | 647.87K |
| Unwilling-Emission | Yes | 584.9K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/xi-jinping-out-before-2027
| krikcrok |
| Yes |
| 504.78K |
| onekey02 | No | 333.98K |
| Leon8899 | Yes | 273.42K |
| iam108 | Yes | 260.61K |
| elmcap2 | No | 256.27K |
| Dim-Mass | Yes | 255.68K |
| Serene-Decision | No | 204.9K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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