Analytics
Resolved Aryna Sabalenka on 2 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Aryna Sabalenka at 96.6%. The Renata Zarazua side opened at 6.5% on 1 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 2 Oct 2026, the highest close was 6.5% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.4% on 2 Oct 2026. $137.88K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 12:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Renata Zarazua price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 2 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Renata Zarazua price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 3.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Renata Zarazua | 22.61K |
| no1dodgersfan | Renata Zarazua | 15.83K |
| Wiggly-Onion | Renata Zarazua | 7K |
| Insecure-Imitation | Renata Zarazua |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Renata Zarazua and Aryna Sabalenka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against Aryna Sabalenka. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Renata Zarazua. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-zarazua-sabalen-2026-10-01
| 3.65K |
| Stable-Petal | Renata Zarazua | 1.36K |
| itsmee | Renata Zarazua | 1.03K |
| neutralwave23 | Renata Zarazua | 958.53 |
| bogemika | Renata Zarazua | 908.38 |
| deepmouse | Renata Zarazua | 568.06 |
| AnonymousUsername | Renata Zarazua | 378 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
