Analytics
Resolved Aryna Sabalenka on 10 Mar 2026.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 11, 9:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 10 Mar 2026, chart shows 78%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 84.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Naomi Osaka | 32.04K |
| ElParisiano | Naomi Osaka | 7.13K |
| BagaKZ | Naomi Osaka | 2K |
| Beneficial-Climate | Naomi Osaka | 1.97K |
| cesarcc | Naomi Osaka | 836.56 |
| TouchDownThana | Naomi Osaka | 699.99 |
| buhara4 | Naomi Osaka | 693 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | Naomi Osaka | 625.03 |
| PMHedgeFund | Naomi Osaka | 297 |
| Both-Bondsman | Naomi Osaka | 218.75 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 10 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-sabalen-osaka-2026-03-10
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