Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Yes at 49.5%. Yes was at 49% at 23 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 23 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 49.5% on 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC and the lowest 49% on 23 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $605 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 1:52 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 23 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 44%–56%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 49.0% |
| 23 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 49.5% |
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This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Katarzyna Kawa in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-rybakin-kawa-2026-10-23
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