Analytics
Resolved Paula Badosa on 2 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Paula Badosa at 78.5%. The Daria Kasatkina side opened at 45% on 29 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 2 Sep 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 2 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 21.5% on 2 Sep 2026. $547.39K traded over the market's life.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 5:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Daria Kasatkina price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 2 Sep 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Daria Kasatkina price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 45.0% |
| 2 Sep 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Brimoz | Daria Kasatkina | 8.18K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Daria Kasatkina | 6.92K |
| Socialista | Daria Kasatkina | 3.6K |
| Murky-Fallingout | Daria Kasatkina |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Daria Kasatkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-kasatki-badosa-2026-08-30
| 3K |
| ebkk590 | Daria Kasatkina | 2K |
| UpTheBlues | Daria Kasatkina | 720.48 |
| Luckyball | Daria Kasatkina | 666 |
| clownly | Daria Kasatkina | 599.99 |
| emrekaan | Daria Kasatkina | 522.95 |
| TE2137 | Daria Kasatkina | 520.83 |
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