Analytics
Resolved Paula Badosa on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Paula Badosa at 66.5%. The Paula Badosa side opened at 71.5% on 29 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 29 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 71.5% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 66.5% on 1 Oct 2026. $588.15K traded over the market's life.
189 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Paula Badosa price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 29 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 64%–74%
| Observed | Paula Badosa price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | 71.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 66.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kev69 | Daria Kasatkina | 10.88K |
| DueDiligenceDan | Daria Kasatkina | 7.49K |
| pltrkr111 | Daria Kasatkina | 6.06K |
| kooper77 | Daria Kasatkina | 5.86K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Daria Kasatkina in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Daria Kasatkina. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Paula Badosa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-badosa-kasatki-2026-09-29
| hurrican | Daria Kasatkina | 3.76K |
| rplc-ftbl | Daria Kasatkina | 3.51K |
| Sinnerr | Daria Kasatkina | 3.42K |
| muglishainer | Daria Kasatkina | 2.34K |
| Wiggly-Onion | Daria Kasatkina | 1.75K |
| GameMaster2026 | Daria Kasatkina | 1.66K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
