
Resolved Yes on 31 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.1%. Yes opened at 91% on 25 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2023 to 31 Jul 2023, the highest close was 99.5% on 27 Jul 2023 and the lowest 91% on 25 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 97% on 26 Jul 2023. $48.95K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 7:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 25 Jul 2023 – 31 Jul 2023, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2023 | 91.0% |
| 31 Jul 2023 | 99.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jamster | No | 11.1K |
| Mr. Chinese | No | 3.98K |
| Bet7 | No | 150 |
| Rich-Genetics | No | 1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Memorialization: The FDV at 5:00 AM ET was $22,780,000,000. This market will resolve to "Yes" if $WLD has a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) greater than $10,000,000,000 on July 31, 2023, 5 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, FDV will be found by multiplying the Binance close price of the 1m WLD candle titled "07/31/2023 05:00" in the ET timezone by the supply (FDV = Current Price x Max Supply [or total supply if max supply is invalid]). The FDV at 05:00 AM ET will be memorialized on this market's Polymarket market description after the resolution time passes.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/WLD_USDT?theme=dark&type=spot
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/worldcoin-market-cap-over-10b-one-week-after-launch
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