Analytics
Yes is at 47.5%, down 2.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 18 Jul 2026.
Across the 98 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 85.5% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 27% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 27%; a month before, 51%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 51% on 28 Sep 2026.
$948.92 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $68.73, with a 75.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is ValorantQuant with 87 shares; the largest No position is zHawKz with 115.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 5:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 98 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zHawKz | No | 115.45 |
| ValorantQuant | Yes | 87.27 |
| maggabollen | Yes | 55.27 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zekken leaves MIBR at any point on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Leaving MIBR" refers to Zekken no longer being a member of MIBR's active roster, whether by transfer to another organization, release, benching with removal from the active roster, retirement, or any other permanent departure from the team. A temporary stand-in absence or loan from which Zekken returns to MIBR's active roster will not count. A confirmed departure will qualify even if Zekken's next destination has not been announced. If Zekken is not a member of MIBR's active roster as of this market's launch, the market will resolve to "No" unless he joins and subsequently leaves within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from MIBR and Zekken, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Market resolves on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or earlier upon a qualifying departure.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-zekken-leave-mibr-in-2026-20260715205615632
| VonVonagh |
| No |
| 25.27 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 20 |
| Nooserac | No | 19.39 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 1.82 |
| Mojito9 | No | 0.6 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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