Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 18% on 3 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 141 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2025 to 20 Nov 2025, the highest close was 100% on 20 Nov 2025 and the lowest 11.5% on 21 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 54 points up, to 79% on 12 Nov 2025. $89.59K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 21, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 141 points, 3 Jul 2025 – 20 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2025 | 18.0% |
| 20 Nov 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gmaeon | No | 1.4K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 901 |
| Rumpelstiltskin | No | 575.25 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yann LeCun ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with Meta, for any length of time between June 30, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with Meta. An official announcement of Yann LeCun’s departure from Meta (e.g., a statement from Meta or LeCun indicating he will no longer be engaged with Meta) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-yann-lecun-leave-meta-by-end-of-year
| No |
| 571 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 389 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 196 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 131 |
| DiamondDog | No | 125.11 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 124 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 118 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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