Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 5% on 28 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2025 to 9 Sep 2025, the highest close was 10.1% on 8 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 2 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.6 points up, to 10.1% on 8 Sep 2025. $10.03K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 28 Aug 2025 – 9 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2025 | 5.0% |
| 9 Sep 2025 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.21K |
| ZoZoBachar | Yes | 2.02K |
| takanorikanno | Yes | 1K |
| Maskache | Yes | 999.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
French Prime Minister François Bayrou called for a vote of confidence in his government on August 25, 2025. The vote is scheduled for September 8, 2025, and Bayrou is expected to lose, as major opposition parties have announced their intention to vote against him. If the confidence vote fails, President Emmanuel Macron will be required to appoint a new prime minister. This is a market on who will be the next Prime Minister of France.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-french-prime-minister-743
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| nevada01 | Yes | 248.15 |
| JoE | Yes | 185.26 |
| Newshound | Yes | 160.14 |
| achryssou | Yes | 133.84 |
| blockpat | Yes | 50.3 |
| shine | Yes | 35 |
